Aren't u the one who said that u never win Liverpool games? Going against yourself huh?....I don't blame you, I would bet this every day of the week....that line just screams out hi-jinks....I do believe Howard Webb is officiating as well...the sun had a great pic early in the week of him in refereeing action w/a red AON jersey on...paper is such a rag(England's version of the NY Post)....but they do make me chuckle
I'm very successful in United matches but equally unsuccessful in Liverpool games...they are absolutely my bogey club in betting. Knowing that, I rarely bet their matches but just too much value to pass up United on Sunday. There are only two clubs that should have United approaching odds of 2.00 (50% chance of winning) and that is Chelsea and City. This year United at home were -135 vs Arsenal and almost -200 against Spurs and both of those clubs are superior to Liverpool. Away team on a nice 5-0-2 run but have played the dregs of the EPL with only Stoke (10th) in the top half and they lost there 3-1. United 8-0-1 L9 h2h at Old Trafford and finished 2012 with a 17-1-1 home record vs EPL teams (lost to spurs this year, drew everton 2-2 last year allowing 2 goals in final 6 minutes). Liverpool were 6-4-10 away with all 6 wins against lower table clubs and just 2 draws against top half clubs (1-1 at Chelsea, 2-2 at Goodison). a team in the 5th division dominated Liverpool for a half just a week ago and would have forced a replay if not for Suarez's handball missed by only two people in the stadium (ref and linesman). The only player I'd take over a United player in his position is Enrique over Evra and he's out for another month. Rooney will miss a 5th straight match but he's the only key contributor out for United and they've scored 19 goals in 7 EPL games without him this year including a 2-1 win at Anfield. Match should be no higher than 1.67 (-150) but I'm sure Liverpool will find a way to ruin my bet as they usually do.
forgot to mention also put 1u on over 3 +100 ... for all their faults Liverpool do lead the EPL in shots attempted (18.42/match) and both allow at least 1.24 goals per game. Nearly 2 of every 3 United matches this year have seen at least 4 goals and they have a 4.1 gpg avg at home with liverpool 3.33 gpg away. But just 1u as these derby matches can be played at an embarrassingly slow tempo
so now liverpool can take 3.5u from me on sunday morning...
so now liverpool can take 3.5u from me on sunday morning...
interesting stat...
Liverpool have more touches in their defensive zone than all but one other premier league team. That means they're constantly being pushed back and forced to defend and pass the ball around in front of their own goal. That, coupled with being #1 in shots/game, should certainly help the over. United have been really strong in gaining wins after allowing the first goal but I'd rather a comfortable 3-1 off a 3-0 HT lead myself
Liverpool have more touches in their defensive zone than all but one other premier league team. That means they're constantly being pushed back and forced to defend and pass the ball around in front of their own goal. That, coupled with being #1 in shots/game, should certainly help the over. United have been really strong in gaining wins after allowing the first goal but I'd rather a comfortable 3-1 off a 3-0 HT lead myself
interesting stat...
Liverpool have more touches in their defensive zone than all but one other premier league team. That means they're constantly being pushed back and forced to defend and pass the ball around in front of their own goal. That, coupled with being #1 in shots/game, should certainly help the over. United have been really strong in gaining wins after allowing the first goal but I'd rather a comfortable 3-1 off a 3-0 HT lead myself
Of course a lot of this is due to converting to Rodgers tactics of keeping the ball at all costs....the Liverpool backs have really struggled against high pressure since being asked to complete a short pass as opposed to kicking it long. I wish Rooney was available as he would cause them no end of nightmares, but still like United to get a big three points from the match and put a load of pressure on City to match them at the Emirates later in the day or fall farther off the pace.
Good luck Rolltide
2.5 hours....Mexico
Santos vs Chivas
- interesting 2.25 line here as Santos are well known for their offensive style of play and shaky defense while Chivas are back in disarray after again changing coaches. Santos have 9 straight league games that have seen at least 2 goals and 27 of their last 30 have reached at least 2 goals. At home they're on an 11-1 over 2.5 streak with just one of their last 18 failing to see 2 goals. Chivas a bit of a wild card after ending their Dutch experiment but 10 of their last 11 league games have reached 2 goals. Away from home they've scored in 4 straight and have allowed a goal in 7 of last 8 so no reason both won't score. 11 of last 14 h2h have seen both teams score as well.
Santos over 2.25 2u -108
Santos vs Chivas
- interesting 2.25 line here as Santos are well known for their offensive style of play and shaky defense while Chivas are back in disarray after again changing coaches. Santos have 9 straight league games that have seen at least 2 goals and 27 of their last 30 have reached at least 2 goals. At home they're on an 11-1 over 2.5 streak with just one of their last 18 failing to see 2 goals. Chivas a bit of a wild card after ending their Dutch experiment but 10 of their last 11 league games have reached 2 goals. Away from home they've scored in 4 straight and have allowed a goal in 7 of last 8 so no reason both won't score. 11 of last 14 h2h have seen both teams score as well.
Santos over 2.25 2u -108
rough start to weekend with chivas missing penalty in stoppage time...half bet lost so 0-1 -1u heading into sat/sun. 2-1 +0.70 (stake 4.1) in new year
today
Rochdale over 2.75 1u to win .85u
Stoke +1/2 .65u to win .66u
Espanyol -1/4 .5u to win .51u
Valencia -1/2 .5u to win .5u
Pescara +1.5 .5u to win .51u
today
Rochdale over 2.75 1u to win .85u
Stoke +1/2 .65u to win .66u
Espanyol -1/4 .5u to win .51u
Valencia -1/2 .5u to win .5u
Pescara +1.5 .5u to win .51u
expecting a 2H disaster. United just absolute domination but have missed at least 5 great chances (2 welbeck, 1 rvp, 2 cleverley) for a 2nd goal while Liverpool haven't put a single shot toward De gea. And, lets face it...Webb has Liverpool. Not only did he not play United advantage on two different fouls where they were breaking but then allows Liverpool to finish their attack with Reyna on the ground then blows the whistle once United start out on a break. Must have swapped out the Aon shirt for a Standard Charter one
But you've got to have more than a 1-0 HT lead after that embarrassing 1H performance by Liverpool. Match should be 3-0 HT ... only positive for United is that Young's ass will be out in favor of Valencia
But you've got to have more than a 1-0 HT lead after that embarrassing 1H performance by Liverpool. Match should be 3-0 HT ... only positive for United is that Young's ass will be out in favor of Valencia
ucking:
